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23rd July 2018, 11.26:18 | #1-0 (permalink) |
Due a Testimonial
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The power of Stats
I once read that George Soros made all his billions with statistical predictions. There are 24 teams in the National League. 1 team gets promoted as champions by finishing 1/24 1 team gets promoted by winning play offs out of 6 teams as 2 >7 / 24 promotion places. 4 teams get relegated So what are the statistical % chances of Wrexham AFC ... a) going up as champions ? b) going up via the play offs ? c) staying in the National League for a 13th year ? c) getting relegated ? Once we know that we can easily convince George Soros to invest a few spare million in our club.
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Make Wrexham A.F.C. Great Again... |
23rd July 2018, 11.41:42 | #3-0 (permalink) | |
Squad Player
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Re: The power of Stats
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a)1:24 b)1:24 c)18:24 or 3:4 d)4:24 or 1:8 |
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23rd July 2018, 13.02:23 | #5-0 (permalink) | |
Part Time ITV4 Pundit
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Re: The power of Stats
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0/24 playoff As for the other two predictions who knows. Depends on our how our paper thin squad fares with injuries, how our transfer gambles pay off and if there are four teams in the league worse than us. As for George Soros I wouldn't want that piece of shit anywhere near this club. |
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23rd July 2018, 13.44:22 | #6-0 (permalink) |
Due a Testimonial
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Re: The power of Stats
Yes GS is an extreme example of what is wrong with society on so many levels.
It was intended to be ironic. Apologies if it was misrepresented. We all know what happens when overt capitalists try to get close to Wxmfc. I have just got in touch with Statto to check if he's okay. Hope so.
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Make Wrexham A.F.C. Great Again... |
23rd July 2018, 13.50:49 | #7-0 (permalink) |
"It's Only A Game!"
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Re: The power of Stats
Statistically speaking you would have to base any forecast on available data. We have never got automatic promotion from this league so statistically wemhave zero likelihood. The same applies to promotion via the playoffs and also relegation. During our time here, we have averaged 9th position and finished in a (unsuccessful) playoff spot three times. Based purely on that, we have a 33% chance of making the playoffs, no chance of winning the playoffs or automatic promotion or relegation.
Fortunately, statistical/probability forecasting means nothing. What was the statistical likelihood of Lewis Hamilton winning the German Grand Prix with 26 laps to go? Zero. |
23rd July 2018, 19.12:45 | #9-0 (permalink) | |
Printing My Own Banknotes
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Re: The power of Stats
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UP THE TOWN! Those are my principles, and if you don't like them.... well, I have others. GROUCHO MARX |
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