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Old 30th April 2019, 00.35:36   #1-0 (permalink)
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Default Time to believe

Ok so here we are in the play off lottery (or is it?) no its not a lottery. This is the absolute time when chance or luck doesn't come in to it. This is the time when we as fans sing "Rising to Promotion" and the players deliver. We want it, the players want it. We are GOING UP.
Old 30th April 2019, 09.02:08   #2-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: Time to believe

Mathematicians might not agree but I believe we have a 50% chance of going up. Why? First game 50 % chance of winning versus Eastleigh. Second game 50% chance of winning versus Salford Third game 50% chance of beating whoever we face at Wembley. We will be promoted.
Old 30th April 2019, 09.05:20   #3-0 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aussiejackoinsaudi View Post
Mathematicians might not agree but I believe we have a 50% chance of going up. Why? First game 50 % chance of winning versus Eastleigh. Second game 50% chance of winning versus Salford Third game 50% chance of beating whoever we face at Wembley. We will be promoted.

Thank you Dianne Abbott
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Old 30th April 2019, 09.09:28   #4-0 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by John Neals Dynasty View Post
Thank you Dianne Abbott
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Who is Dianne Abbott?
Old 30th April 2019, 09.11:32   #5-0 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aussiejackoinsaudi View Post
Who is Dianne Abbott?
Shes is a mathematician of great repute !!
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Down with this sort of thing!!!
Old 30th April 2019, 09.28:25   #6-0 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aussiejackoinsaudi View Post
Mathematicians might not agree but I believe we have a 50% chance of going up. Why? First game 50 % chance of winning versus Eastleigh. Second game 50% chance of winning versus Salford Third game 50% chance of beating whoever we face at Wembley. We will be promoted.
Sadly Aussie you multiply .5 x .5 x .5 which gives us a 12.5% chance on your 50% chance per game!! Good job we play on grass and not on a calculator.
Old 30th April 2019, 09.37:06   #7-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: Time to believe

[QUOTE=lloydyp;2252721]Sadly Aussie you multiply .5 x .5 x .5 which gives us a 12.5% chance on your 50% chance per game!! Good job we play on grass and not on a calculator.[/QUOTE

Do we have a 50% chance of winning each game? Yes or no? If we win the first game we have exactly the same chance of winning the second game and then the third game. Let me believe as it makes sense to me.
Old 30th April 2019, 09.45:04   #8-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: Time to believe

AJIS is quite right, we DO have a 50% chance of going up.

Either we will, or we won't.
Old 30th April 2019, 09.50:01   #9-0 (permalink)
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[QUOTE=aussiejackoinsaudi;2252722]
Quote:
Originally Posted by lloydyp View Post
Sadly Aussie you multiply .5 x .5 x .5 which gives us a 12.5% chance on your 50% chance per game!! Good job we play on grass and not on a calculator.[/QUOTE

Do we have a 50% chance of winning each game? Yes or no? If we win the first game we have exactly the same chance of winning the second game and then the third game. Let me believe as it makes sense to me.
I'd stop digging if I was you. E might have a 50% chance of winning each game, but that doesn't equate to a 50% chance of going up. It's 12.5%
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Old 30th April 2019, 09.56:35   #10-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: Time to believe

[QUOTE=aussiejackoinsaudi;2252722]
Quote:
Originally Posted by lloydyp View Post
Sadly Aussie you multiply .5 x .5 x .5 which gives us a 12.5% chance on your 50% chance per game!! Good job we play on grass and not on a calculator.[/QUOTE

Do we have a 50% chance of winning each game? Yes or no? If we win the first game we have exactly the same chance of winning the second game and then the third game. Let me believe as it makes sense to me.
So by your logic we have a 50% chance of winning whichever league we're in next season.
Win the 1st game, exactly the same chance of winning the second game...
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