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Old 22nd April 2020, 15.55:19   #1-0 (permalink)
"It's Only A Game!"
 
draigwrecsam's Avatar

 
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Default What If?

OK, the season is over, but there are still decisions to be made. Do we abandon the seaon altogether or do we go ahead with playoffs whenever the time is right/ And if we have playoffs how do we decide who plays where?

Not that I'm bored with time on my hands or anything but, I started looking at various PPG scenarios.

The attached results provide enough "What if?" questions to last, maybe, until the next season begins.

I calculated, or rather Excel did, the following:

PPG - straight PPG based on current results;
PPG (H) + PPG (A) - the variation I use in the Like for Like Stats;
PPG (H) - home form applied to all games;
PPG (A) - away form applied to all games;

Vs TOP -form against the current top 12 teams;
Vs TOP (H) - home form against the top 12 applied to all games;
Vs TOP (A) - away form against the top 12 applied to all games;

Vs BOTTOM -form against the current bottom 12 teams;
Vs BOTTOM (H) - home form against the bottom 12 applied to all games;
Vs BOTTOM (A) - away form against the bottom 12 applied to all games.

I could have gone on and added things like 'Home vs Top 12 and Away vs Bottom 12' but mrs draig slapped me when she saw me giggling hysterically.
Attached Files
File Type: pdf What If PPG.pdf (426.7 KB, 67 views)
Old 22nd April 2020, 16.26:40   #2-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

Have you not got anything better to do with your life?
Old 22nd April 2020, 16.39:43   #3-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

The results vs the top 12 compared against the results vs. the bottom 12 show one thing for me - consistent failures when the team are under pressure.

When the pressure is off and we're not expected to get a result we can grab one. When we're fighting teams around us we never show up.

I think we'd have gone down with the pressure of the run-in
Old 22nd April 2020, 16.53:14   #4-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

Us and Notts bottom 4 vs bottom 12 teams. What does that tell you?
Old 22nd April 2020, 17.00:54   #5-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

Quote:
Originally Posted by René Higuita View Post
Us and Notts bottom 4 vs bottom 12 teams. What does that tell you?
We r both crap against bottom 12 teams next question
Old 22nd April 2020, 18.20:53   #6-0 (permalink)
"It's Only A Game!"
 
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Default Re: What If?

Quote:
Originally Posted by cynprifathro View Post
Have you not got anything better to do with your life?
Nope! 😀
Old 23rd April 2020, 07.22:30   #7-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

Quote:
Originally Posted by cynprifathro View Post
Have you not got anything better to do with your life?
Just because basic mathematics goes well above your head doesn't mean people don't find it interesting.
Old 23rd April 2020, 07.32:03   #8-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

Quote:
Originally Posted by draigwrecsam View Post
Nope! 😀
I find these very interesting myself!
Old 23rd April 2020, 07.40:36   #9-0 (permalink)
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Default Re: What If?

I still believe with that run in we would have gone down. We were a side bereft of leadership on and off the pitch with one dimensional tactics. Any side knew that if they pressured us and got an early goal we would fall to pieces.
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